New Delhi, December 11, 2011 : .According to the third ABP News/CVoter Battle for the States tracker, the incumbent Bharatiya Janata Party will likely retain power next year in the tight election in Uttarakhand.
The survey data suggests that BJP is benefitting from the division of anti-incumbency votes between Congress and Aam Aadmi Party (AAP), the new entrant in the political fray in the state, as per the survey.
According to the survey data, the saffron party is expected to grab 39.8 per cent votes in the upcoming Assembly polls in the state.While the main opposition party – Congress – is likely to garner 35.7 per cent votes, new entrant AAP is expected to corner 12.6 per cent votes in the Assembly polls scheduled early next year.
Current projections were based on a daily CVoter tracking poll that was conducted between November 13 and December 9 among 18-plus adults including potential voters.
As for the methodology and survey details, the survey reached out to a total of approximately 92,000+ across 5 states (UP, Punjab, Uttarakhand, Manipur and Goa) and was conducted through CATI (Telephonic survey).
The same is also expected to have a margin of error of ±3 to ±5% and may not necessarily have factored in all criteria.
As for the methodology and survey details, the survey reached out to a total of approximately 92,000+ persons across five states (UP, Punjab, Uttarakhand, Manipur and Goa).It was conducted through CATI (telephonic survey).The same is also expected to have a margin of error of ±3 to ±5 per cent and may not necessarily have factored in all the criteria.
The region-wise results of the poll suggest that the BJP will be outperformed by its political rivals from Kumaon, Garhwal, and Congress in Tarai.
Interestingly, according to the survey data, Congress leader and former Chief Minister Harish Rawat is the most preferred candidate for the CM’s post in the upcoming Assembly elections.
During the survey, while 33.5 per cent of the respondents said that Congress leader Harish Rawat is their preferred choice for the post of Chief Minister, 26.6 per cent of those surveyed said that they want sitting Chief Minister Pushkar Singh Dhami to return to the top job in state.
A total 18% of the interviewees said Anil Singh Baluni, a BJP member, is the best candidate for the CM post.8.9% voted in favor of Col.Ajay Kthiyal from AAP.
Notably, the survey findings suggest that Pushkar Singh Dhami has been successful in placating the electorate of the state since he took charge as the head of the state government in July this year.
During the survey, as many as 64.1 per cent of the respondents said that public anger against the Uttarakhand government caused during the tenure of Trivendra Singh Rawat has gone down by the work done by Pushkar Singh.However, 35.9 per cent of those who participated in the survey, said that the public anger continues to persist against the state government under the incumbent Chief Minister as well.
According to the Tracker, Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Kedarnath Yatra of last month seemed to have succeeded in changing people’s mind in favor of BJP.
During the survey, 57.5 per cent of the respondents said that people’s mood has changed in favour of BJP after PM’s visit to Kedarnath, while 35.9 per cent said that PM’s visit made no change in voters’ opinion about the saffron party.
The survey data further suggests that the decision of the Pushkar Singh Dhami government to dissolve the Devastahanam Board will help the BJP in the upcoming Assembly polls.
The Char Dham priests – Kedarnath and Badrinath Gangotri, Gangotri, Yamunotri, and Yamunotri- opposed the Board, which was created during the chief ministership by Trivendra Singh Rawat in order to manage the affairs of the 51 temples in Uttarakhand.
The priests of Char Dham viewed the Board as encroachment upon their rights.During the survey, while 60.1 per cent of the respondents said that scrapping the Devasthanam Board will help the BJP in the upcoming Assembly polls, 39.1 per cent said the decision will not benefit the ruling party.
The Congress has declared to make Gairsain the permanent capital of Uttarakhand, hoping to benefit from announcement in the coming Assembly elections, but the survey findings suggest that the opposition party will not benefit much from the announcement.
During the survey, as many as 62.4 per cent of the respondents said that the Congress’ announcment to make Gairsain the permanent capital of Uttarakhand will not benefit it in the upcoming Assembly polls, while 37.6 per cent said that it can help the opposition party.
#retain #Uttarakhand #Delhi #Delhi #New Delhi #Manipur #Punjab #Pushkar #Uttarakhand #Congress #Bharatiya Janata Party #Aam Aadmi Party #Aam Aadmi #Narendra
.
