Australian National Science Agency Launches Bushfire Prediction Model

Australian national science agency launches bushfire prediction model

Canberra, December 14, 2014 : .Australia’s National Science Agency has launched a new model to predict the spread of bushfires.
According to Xinhua, the Vesta Mark 2 Model was developed by the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization.It is Australia’s best model to predict the behaviour and speed of a Eucalypt fire.

 Australian National Science Agency Launches Bushfire Prediction Model-TeluguStop.com

More than 70% of Australia’s forest is made up by Eucalypts.They are responsible for two of Australia’s most severe fire events: the 2009 Black Saturday fires, and the 2019/20 Black Summer fires.

Andrew Sullivan of CSIRO Bushfire Behavior Research said that while most people were expecting a dry summer, the threat of bushfires remained.

He stated that forests play a critical role in the environment and are connected to large areas of Australia where many Australians reside.

This model is able to predict how fast a fire front will travel across landscapes.It’s essential for authorities to identify potential threats and to issue warning messages about bushfires.

The model relies on weather forecasts and wind information from the Bureau of Meteorology as well as historical data on fires dating back 40 years and fuel load information from vegetation databases.

A landmark CSIRO report published in November found that the average area of forest burned annually in Australia was 800 per cent higher between 2002 and 2019 than from 1988 to 2001.

Of the four mega fires in Australia since 1930, defined as a bushfire that burned more than 1 million hectares of land, three have occurred since 2000.

Kyle Stewart, deputy commissioner for preparedness and capability at the New South Wales (NSW) Rural Fire Service (RFS), said the new model would be a key weapon in the fight against fires.

“Knowing with confidence where a bushfire will be ahead of time is critical to the safe and effective deployment of our fire crews and the safety of our communities,” he said.


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